Research Projects
College Choice
Good students tend to pick good schools. This selection mechanism makes it incredibly hard to estimate what effect education actually has. That graduates from some programs earn more could be because their skills improved more in school (a causal effect of education), but it could also be because they were more talented to start with (selection). In this research program I use statistical techniques to properly estimate the component that is causal.
SWECOV
The Covid-19 pandemic has profoundly impacted societies in ways we are only beginning to understand. I was part of the secretariat of the Swedish corona commission, an independent inquiry established by the government in 2020 to evaluate Sweden’s pandemic response. The commission published three reports: a first report on elderly care (SOU 2020:80), a second report on disease control and healthcare (SOU 2021:89), and a final report (SOU 2022:10) covering crisis management, economic consequences, and public communication. The commission found that Sweden’s decision not to impose lockdowns was fundamentally correct, but criticized the initial response as too slow—particularly the failure to protect elderly care residents during the first wave.
Reproducibility
In a series of papers, we replicate lab experiments in the social sciences. We also study how accurately replicability can be predicted, by peer scientists in prediction markets, and also by machine learning algorithms.